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The 15p Chancellor? How Osborne could outflank Labour on tax

Date: 11. July 2011 / Category: Government

Gavin Kelly

fter a year in power, in the aftermath of a traumatic recession and with unemployment still riding high, the Chancellor needs not only to deal with the immediate economic predicament but also to chart a course to the next election. Economic and political cycles need to be aligned. It is already a commonplace in Westminster that this means tax cuts down the road, though no one knows what form they will take. The Chancellor's first thoughts have already been slipped to the PM in a secret memo.

At least that's how it was for Nigel Lawson back in 1984 --- and today, George Osborne faces a similar challenge. Can a highly ambitious but boxed-in chancellor drag the centre of political gravity rightwards - above all on the touchpaper issue of tax -- and, in so doing, win the next election on Conservative terms?

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