Productivity & industrial strategy· Fiscal policy· Economic growth Trend setters What is the OBR’s forecast for trend productivity growth, and why it matters so much for the Budget 14 October 2025 by Greg Thwaites and Elliott Christensen …final year productivity growth estimate by 0.1 percentage points, due to continued weak productivity growth and the economic effects of Brexit.[5] Figure 3: Outside the pandemic, the OBR last made… READ MORE