Trade How to win a trade war Book launch event with Soumaya Keynes and Chad Bown UpcomingTuesday 2 June 2026 …how we prepare for what the future might hold. They explain how trade wars can lead to hot wars, and what the West can learn from China. As post-Brexit Britain… SIGN UP
Trade EU-turn Resetting the UK-EU relationship through strategic dynamic alignment 9 October 2024 by Sophie Hale …to 8 per cent to outside the EU. This modelling estimated the long-run impacts of Brexit, but other recent research has found that trade continued to adjust to Brexit between… READ MORE
Trade Rebooting Brexit Opportunities and challenges from resetting UK-EU trade relations Wednesday 9 October 2024 Britain has left the EU almost five years ago, and the economic damage – particularly when it comes to trade – is now clear. The new Government has put resetting… READ MORE
Trade Britain needs to acknowledge rather than deny its weaknesses in goods trade, and leverage its strength in services 13 May 2024 by Emily Fry …this House cause for celebration and renewed pride in our country,” arguing that the post-Brexit trade performance of both goods and services was something to phone home about. So, should… READ MORE
Trade Britain’s post-Brexit trade patterns are finally emerging in the data 28 February 2024 by Emily Fry …But just as you might conclude that Brexit has been a disaster for trade, UK services trade is soaring. Services trade was growing quicker than goods long before Brexit –… READ MORE
Living standards· Prices & consumption· Trade Trading standards How exposure to global trade shapes our living standards Monday 19 February 2024 Britain is an open economy, and has become more open over recent decades – despite the impact of Brexit and ‘slowbalisation’. But the quantity and type of goods and services… READ MORE
Trade· Economy 2030 Trading Up The role of the post-Brexit trade approach in the UK’s economic strategy 15 June 2023 by Shania Bhalotia and Swati Dhingra and Emily Fry and Sophie Hale …but recognise the constraints implied by the global and domestic context. This report finds that the UK’s initial post-Brexit trade plan has run out road and must be replaced with… READ MORE
Trade· Economy 2030 The UK’s trade trajectory In search of a post-Brexit trade strategy Thursday 15 June 2023 Brexit was a seismic break for the UK, not least in bringing to a close a decades long trade strategy focused on integration with European markets. Since then the Government… READ MORE
Trade· Economy 2030 Open for business? UK trade performance since leaving the EU 28 February 2023 by Sophie Hale and Emily Fry The overwhelming consensus was that Brexit – which raised trade barriers with the EU – would make the UK less open, less competitive and reduce the size of the economy…. READ MORE
Cities and regions· Economic growth· Trade· Economy 2030 The future of the UK economy Navigating a route to a fairer and more prosperous Northern Ireland, and beyond Monday 12 September 2022 The whole of the United Kingdom is facing a decisive decade of huge economic change, from tackling the energy bills crisis, to restructuring after Brexit and the pandemic, and urgently… READ MORE
Firms· Productivity & industrial strategy· Cities and regions· Trade· Economy 2030 The Big Brexit An assessment of the scale of change to come from Brexit 22 June 2022 by Swati Dhingra and Emily Fry and Sophie Hale and Ningyuan Jia …the Economy 2030 Inquiry. This report finds that the expected large relative decline in UK-EU exports haven’t occurred and instead Brexit appears to be weighing on both UK openness and… READ MORE
Trade· Economy 2030 Brexit Britain Assessing the impact of Brexit on people, places and firms Wednesday 22 June 2022 The British economy has altered substantially since the Brexit referendum result, as firms and workers have seen changes to investment and wages respectively. But the longer lasting impacts of Brexit… READ MORE
Firms· Productivity & industrial strategy· Net zero· Economic growth· Trade· Economy 2030 Stagnation Nation? The Economy 2030 Inquiry conference Wednesday 13 July 2022 The UK is facing a decisive decade of economic change, as we emerge from the pandemic, adjust to Brexit, and urgently transition towards a net zero future. Some hope these… READ MORE
Trade· Economy 2030 Pivot Pivot! Assessing the UK’s new Indo-Pacific trade focus Wednesday 26 January 2022 The UK’s exit from the EU has given it the freedom to pursue an independent trade strategy for the first time in four decades. To date, post-Brexit trade debate has… READ MORE
Labour market enforcement· Labour market· Migration· Trade· Covid-19 Home and away The UK labour market in a post-Brexit world 16 December 2020 by Kathleen Henehan and Lindsay Judge This briefing note considers a number of ways in which the labour market could be affected as the UK moves to a tighter, post-Brexit immigration regime in January 2021. Under… READ MORE
Labour market· Migration· Trade A new era What do Brexit and Covid mean for migration and the UK labour market? Thursday 17 December 2020 …been transformed by Brexit – and now Covid. How has Brexit already affected migration patterns in the UK? How has Covid changed the picture? What will the government’s new migration… READ MORE
Living standards· Prices & consumption· Trade· Tax After Brexit the UK could cut VAT on energy – but should it? 2 September 2019 by Adam Corlett …could consider: 1) Give money to those in poverty Beyond demonstrating that some things are possible post-Brexit that weren’t before, what is the goal of the policy? Based on the… READ MORE
Living standards· Economy and public finances· Trade Counting the cost: UK living standards since the 2016 referendum 11 February 2019 by James Smith Household incomes are around £1,500 year lower today than they were expected to be before the Brexit referendum – with the UK having experienced the sharpest income growth slowdown of… READ MORE
Living standards· Inequality & poverty· Economic growth· Trade Dis-United Kingdom? Inequality, growth and the Brexit divide 25 May 2018 by Matthew Whittaker …an unprecedentedly toxic combination is therefore especially worrying. Brexit: not just economics, stupid At first glance, the link between economics and the vote for Brexit appears obvious. Figure 1 details… READ MORE
Living standards· Economy and public finances· Trade There’s much uncertainty about a ‘No Deal’ Brexit, but what we do know would be bad for living standards 17 October 2017 by Torsten Bell …task further, in the case of Brexit Britain while we know big change is coming, we don’t know what form that big change will actually take. Even if it’s for… READ MORE
Economy and public finances· Economic growth· Trade Changing Lanes: The impact of different post-Brexit trading policies on the cost of living 17 October 2017 by Stephen Clarke and Ilona Serwicka and L. Alan Winters …impact of changes in the UK’s trade regime could be on living standards. This paper aims to fill that gap by looking at what impact two “no deal” Brexit scenarios… READ MORE
Incomes· Living standards· Inequality & poverty· Trade We’re getting poorer, but it’s not (just) Brexit 6 October 2017 by Matthew Whittaker …parts of the UK’s economy – from productivity to housing to skills – would have been the central challenge even in the absence of Brexit. Delivering Brexit is an additional… READ MORE
Labour market· Skills· Migration· Trade Work in Brexit Britain: reshaping the nation’s labour market 7 July 2017 …they lead to will dominate British politics and policy making for the years ahead, but making a success of Brexit Britain is about far more than the text in new… READ MORE
Living standards· Political parties and elections· Trade How important was Brexit in the so-called ‘Brexit election’? 10 June 2017 by Matthew Whittaker …Conservative’s focus on Brexit in its election campaign – and relative disregard for wider social and economic issues – could be seen as marking an attempt to appeal to a… READ MORE
Living standards· Trade Britain has enjoyed a mini living standards boom – so why did we vote for change? 29 January 2017 by Torsten Bell …more inequality was either flat or falling – poorer households did better than most. But the democracy story was a Brexit vote for big change on the back of deep… READ MORE
