Welfare Time to make Universal Credit fit for purpose in 21st century Britain 31 October 2017 by David Finch The pace of the roll-out of Universal Credit (UC) has quickened in recent months – and so too have the complaints and reputational hit that the reform is taking. Much of the focus has been on the six week wait before new claimants moving out of work receive their first payment, which is the result … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Low pay· Pay The national living wage has caused the biggest fall in low pay in 40 years – but how is this improving people’s living standards? 27 October 2017 by George Bangham Employment is at a 40-year high, while pay is stagnating. That, in brief, sums up the last few years of changes in Britain’s labour market. As Figure 1 shows, politicians rightly highlight that employment and unemployment are undeniably trending in the right direction. But the good news on employment has failed drastically to translate into … Continued READ MORE
Low pay· Labour market· Pay The latest on low pay 26 October 2017 by Conor D’Arcy To paraphrase the great Yogi Berra, making predictions is hard. That’s especially true of the future of the UK’s labour market. After all, the current combination of record high employment and falling real wages is not a forecast many economists would’ve made even a couple of years ago. But new Annual Survey of Hours and … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Cities and regions Charting a course to better jobs in Greater Manchester 26 October 2017 by Stephen Clarke Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, has just announced that he is looking at creating a ‘GM Employers’ Charter’ to raise productivity and job quality in the region. As a first step the Mayor is seeking the views of employers, workers, trade unions and other experts, so it’s a good time to take stock … Continued READ MORE
Labour market We need to address Britain’s Jekyll and Hyde labour market 19 October 2017 by Conor D’Arcy The latest chapter in the British labour market’s Jekyll and Hyde story was published this week. New data on jobs, pay and inflation continued the plot of recent months: an impressively high employment rate twinned with woeful wage growth that’s unable to keep up with prices. But for one group at least, recent developments have … Continued READ MORE
Living standards· Brexit & trade· Economy and public finances There’s much uncertainty about a ‘No Deal’ Brexit, but what we do know would be bad for living standards 17 October 2017 by Torsten Bell Big change, means big uncertainty. Especially when that big change is being brought to the complex beast that is a major developed country in the 21st Century. To complicate the task further, in the case of Brexit Britain while we know big change is coming, we don’t know what form that big change will actually … Continued READ MORE
Budgets & fiscal events· Welfare Let it go Chancellor. Why Philip Hammond should revisit the benefit freeze in next month’s Budget 15 October 2017 by David Finch The weather might be un-seasonally warm just now, but millions of household budgets are in the grip of a four-year freeze that’s about to get colder still. For decades, the government’s default position has been to uprate the value of working-age benefits each April in line with the rate of inflation prevailing in the previous … Continued READ MORE
Living standards· Incomes Did raising tuition fees flatter measurements of young people’s incomes? 13 October 2017 by Adam Corlett The government has announced that the maximum annual tuition fee will be frozen at £9,250; and that the earnings threshold for repayment will jump from £21,000 to £25,000. What’s more, there will be a wide review of student finances to “look again” at this turbulent political issue. While they’re doing that, government statisticians should look … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Skills Is the big fall in Apprenticeship starts a blip, or a sign of things to come? 12 October 2017 by Kathleen Henehan Since the implementation of the apprenticeship levy in May of this year, many have wondered how a shift in funding – with large employers in England being required to put 0.5% of their wage bill into an apprenticeship account – would affect the number and type of apprenticeships on offer. Today, we have first sight … Continued READ MORE
Productivity & industrial strategy· Economy and public finances· Economic growth The living standards cost of the OBR’s newfound productivity pessimism 10 October 2017 by Matthew Whittaker Rumours of attempts within the Cabinet to remove Philip Hammond may or may not be wide of the mark. But given the recent steady flow of disappointing economic data, the Chancellor could be forgiven for wanting to walk before he’s pushed. Last week’s PMI data and today’s short-term indicators from the ONS both suggested that … Continued READ MORE
Living standards· Labour market· Inequality & poverty Black and ethnic minority workers needs a bigger living standards reward for their astounding progress in getting degrees 7 October 2017 by Kathleen Henehan and Helena Rose On Tuesday, the Government will publish an audit of race disparity across public service outcomes. The data, which will be publicly available, outlines race-based inequality in health, education and employment services, and within the criminal justice system. This is a very welcome development: previous Resolution Foundation research found that such disparities are very real when … Continued READ MORE
Incomes· Living standards· Brexit & trade· Inequality & poverty We’re getting poorer, but it’s not (just) Brexit 6 October 2017 by Matthew Whittaker Amid a busy week in politics, the publication this week of new data showing that average household income per person has fallen in each of the last four quarters has passed somewhat unremarked upon. As the chart below shows, annualised income fell by 0.3 per cent in the second quarter of this year relative to … Continued READ MORE
Housing An additional £2bn for affordable housing – a big deal or just small fry? 5 October 2017 by Lindsay Judge It’s the morning after Theresa May committed an additional £2 billion to affordable housing, so is this a big deal or just small fry? The announcement is clearly significant in a number of key ways. First, this money represents a sizeable bump to the £7 billion the government had already pledged over the parliament for … Continued READ MORE
Housing· Intergenerational Centre Social housing for the younger generations? 4 October 2017 by Lindsay Judge Social housing has received much well-deserved attention over the conference season and even looks set to be the star of the show in Theresa May’s speech. But while the rise and fall of the sector is a familiar story, the intergenerational consequences of its course are rarely remarked upon. With our new research showing that … Continued READ MORE