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Labour Market Outlook


Our quarterly Labour Market Outlook lifts the lid on what’s happening beneath the bonnet of the UK labour market, and what’s in the pipeline for people’s pay and job prospects. Each edition includes a Spotlight article that focuses on an emerging labour market trend.

Contacts

Nye Cominetti

Economic Analyst
T: 0203 372 2960
E: nye.cominetti@resolutionfoundation.org

Hannah Slaughter

Senior Economist
T: 0203 372 2960
E: hannah.slaughter@resolutionfoundation.org
Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q1 2022

How should we interpret strong nominal earnings growth?

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In the first months of 2022, the labour market continued to tighten, with no sign of weakening in the aftermath of the JRS. Unemployment has fallen further, and stood at…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q3 2021

Prospects for unemployment after the Job Retention Scheme

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As the economy has continued to reopen over the summer, the labour market has continued to surprise on the upside. After peaking at 5.2 per cent in Q4 2020, the…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q2 2021

Q2 2021

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As Covid-19 restrictions begin to ease and more sectors begin to reopen, there are positive signs of recovery in the labour market. The number of payrolled employees has begun to…
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Publications

Earnings Outlook Q1 2021

Earnings in the Covid-19 crisis

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The UK has spent the first quarter of 2021 under renewed restrictions to slow the spread of Covid-19. As the third England-wide lockdown began in January, many businesses were forced…
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Publications

Earnings Outlook Q4 2020

Public sector pay

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As we come to the end of a year like no other, the outlook for the labour market remains mixed. At the beginning of this month, the second national lockdown…
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Publications

Earnings Outlook Q2 2020

Back in lockdown

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As England enters its second lockdown the outlook for the labour market is as uncertain as at any point during the crisis (Wales and Northern Ireland are already in a…
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Publications

Earnings Outlook Q1 2020

What we know about how employee earnings have fared in the current crisis

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Since we last produced an Earnings Outlook (at the end of March) some things have become clearer. The scale of the impact of the current crisis is as big as…
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