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Earnings Outlook


Our quarterly Earnings Outlook lifts the lid on what’s happening beneath the bonnet of the UK labour market, and what’s in the pipeline for people’s pay and job prospects. Each edition includes a Spotlight article that focuses on an emerging labour market trend.

Contacts

Nye Cominetti

Nye Cominetti

Economic Analyst
E: nye.cominetti@resolutionfoundation.org
Comment

Never had it so good? Almost back to peak pay

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The last time pay peaked was in August 2007. Average weekly pay was £513, measured in 2019 prices. Over a decade later, pay is finally set to go higher. In…
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Publications

The Resolution Foundation Earnings Outlook Q2 2019

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In our Earnings Outlook for 2019 Q2 we suggest that the UK’s 12 year long pay squeeze may be about to come to an end, just in time for the…
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Publications

Earnings Outlook Q2 2019

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In our Earnings Outlook for 2019 Q2 we suggest that the UK’s 12 year long pay squeeze may be about to come to an end, just in time for the…
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Publications

The Resolution Foundation Earnings Outlook Q4 2018

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Our quarterly earnings outlook, for Q4 2018. With the minimum wage now 20 years old, we chart its impact on low pay over two decades. We also look at the…
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Publications

The Resolution Foundation Earnings Outlook Q3 2018

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Our quarterly earnings outlook, for Q3 2018. We look ahead to 2019, and ask whether recent improvements in pay growth will continue throughout the year (the view of the Bank…
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Comment

Will 2019 see a ‘new dawn’ for pay?

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What does 2019 have in store for pay? 2018 was the year in which we left behind the pay squeeze of 2017. Nominal growth increased throughout the year, reaching 3…
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Publications

The Resolution Foundation Earnings Outlook Q2 2018

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Our quarterly earnings outlook for Q2 2018. We focus on the decline in regional job mobility (people moving region for work) and argue that this is due to structural rather…
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Publications

The RF Earnings Outlook Q1 2018

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Our quarterly earnings outlook, for Q1 2018. The outlook explores whether the current pace of wage growth is as good as it gets. Despite signs of improvement, annual growth in…
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