Spread thin
This briefing note assesses the Autumn 2026 Budget, the first from the new Chancellor, delivered against a backdrop of war in the Middle East, a fresh energy price shock and a weaker fiscal outlook. It looks at the economic and fiscal forecasts, the Budget’s cost of living, tax and spending decisions, and what they mean for household incomes over the rest of this Parliament. Higher gilt yields have pushed the forecast debt interest bill up to £147 billion in 2029-30, £13 billion more than in March. The Budget leaves the Government with just £14.5 billion of headroom, about three-fifths of its March level. A £3.7 billion package of new household support takes the edge off this winter’s energy price rises, but cost of living support is thinly spread, with only just over half of measures announced by Burnham and Healey going to the poorer half of households. Decisions on departmental spending were largely deferred, and LHA was left frozen.
Read moreOur mission
The Resolution Foundation is an independent think-tank dedicated to lifting living standards in the UK. We focus particularly on households with low and middle incomes; those on low pay or in precarious work; and those vulnerable to financial shocks.
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Counting the cost
The impact of five years of high inflation on living standards
This briefing note takes stock of five years of successive cost of living crises, examining how the surge in prices since 2021 has hit household incomes, finances and living standards across the income distribution.
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Home economics
How to put England’s broken housing taxes on firmer foundations
This briefing note examines how England taxes residential property and sets out a roadmap for replacing Council Tax and Stamp Duty with a system that is fairer, more efficient, and does not penalise the parts of the country where house prices have risen least.
Read moreLiving wage
The Resolution Foundation calculates the real Living Wage – a voluntary hourly pay rate that is based on what families need to get by. The current national rate is:
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Data
Explore our interactive housing indicators or read about our alternative estimate of UK employment.
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Resolution Ventures
Resolution Ventures exists to back innovative start-ups seeking to change the world of work for the better, and early-stage ventures seeking to improve the prospects of low-to-middle income Britain.
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