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Labour Market Outlook


Our quarterly Labour Market Outlook lifts the lid on what’s happening beneath the bonnet of the UK labour market, and what’s in the pipeline for people’s pay and job prospects. Each edition includes a Spotlight article that focuses on an emerging labour market trend.

Contacts

Nye Cominetti

Senior Economist
T: 0203 372 2963
E: nye.cominetti@resolutionfoundation.org

Hannah Slaughter

Senior Economist
T: 0203 372 2903
E: hannah.slaughter@resolutionfoundation.org
Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q1 2024

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When comparing the pre-pandemic period to today, the national employment story has generally ­focused on the rise in inactivity due to ill health and the resultant fall in employment. However,…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q4 2023

What’s happening to pay growth?

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Over the course of 2023, the labour market has been gradually cooling on most measures. Even ignoring data from the Labour Force Survey that has recently been called into question,…
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Comment

Real-term public sector pay falls are fuelling the recent strikes… but what lies ahead?

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Across the past year, 3.9 million working days have been lost to industrial action– more days than at any point since the 1980s. The Resolution Foundation’s Labour Market Outlook, published…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q2 2023

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The UK has seen more strikes in the past year than in any since the 1980s. These strikes have been concentrated in the public and transport sectors, where unionisation rates…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q1 2023

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In recent months, labour market commentary has been dominated by the knock-on effects of the ongoing cost of living crisis. High inflation continues to erode real wages, despite strong nominal…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q3 2022

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In the aftermath of the pandemic, the emergence of long Covid has increased focus on the relationship between work and ill health. But the prevalence of long Covid, thought to…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q1 2022

How should we interpret strong nominal earnings growth?

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In the first months of 2022, the labour market continued to tighten, with no sign of weakening in the aftermath of the JRS. Unemployment has fallen further, and stood at…
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