A bold, broad interim report from Milburn Review sets the stage for Government action, but fiscal and coordination challenges lie ahead 28 May 2026 The Milburn Review interim report, published today (Thursday), has accurately explained the complex drivers behind the UK’s close to one million 16- to 24-year-olds not in education, employment or training (NEET). Rising ill health, limited vocational education, a hands-off benefits system, and a weak labour market are all identified in the report as key drivers … Continued READ MORE
Disastrous NEETs milestone shows why radical reset of support for young people is needed, rather than piecemeal reform 28 May 2026 The number of 16-24 year olds not in employment, education or training (NEET) surpassed one million for the first time in over a decade, and now only one EU country (Romania) has a higher NEET rate than the UK. NEET rates could continue rising in the years ahead without a radical reset of support for … Continued READ MORE
Workers in key low-paid sectors feel locked out of decisions over their pay and conditions, with women, young people and zero-hours contract workers especially disempowered 28 May 2026 Just 14 per cent of the lowest paid workers feel they have significant influence over decisions affecting their work, down from 23 per cent in 2001, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday), suggesting worker voice has reached a new low point. Take it or leave it – supported by Unbound Philanthropy – looks at the … Continued READ MORE
Prices & consumption· Net zero Large rise in price cap will have only a small impact on summer bills and shows Government right to hold fire on targeted energy support 27 May 2026 The 13 per cent rise in the energy price cap from 1 July – from £1,641 to £1,862 – will have only a small impact on household energy costs over the summer, rising by just £21 for a typical household. This justifies the Government’s decision to hold fire on targeted support until it’s really needed, … Continued READ MORE
Children more likely than adults to live in private rented sector, as one-in-four young children now call the highest-cost, lowest-security tenure home 23 May 2026 The number of children living in the private rented sector (PRS) has almost tripled over the last quarter century, from 1.1 million children in 2000-01 to 3.2 million in 2024-25. As a result, children are now more likely than working-age adults to live in the PRS (23 per cent compared to 22 per cent) as … Continued READ MORE
Fuel duty cut extension will benefit richer households just as low-income families find themselves at heart of cost of living crunch 20 May 2026 Responding to the Government’s announcement on fuel duty today, Jonny Marshall, Principal Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The best that can be said of today’s announcement is that the Chancellor’s has wisely ignored calls for an expensive blanket cancellation of the temporary 5p cut to fuel duty. “Nonetheless, even this modest extension will cost … Continued READ MORE
CPI falls to its lowest level in a year but price rises are in train – and will hit low-income families hardest 20 May 2026 CPI inflation surprised to the downside falling by half a percentage point to 2.8 per cent in April – having been 3.3 per cent in March – bringing inflation to its lowest level since March 2025 and putting the UK in the enviable position of being the only country in the G7 to see a … Continued READ MORE
Pension Commission’s evidence should be used to set end date for Triple Lock 19 May 2026 Commenting on the Interim Report of the Pensions Commission published today (Tuesday), Mike Brewer, Deputy Chief Executive of the Resolution Foundation, said: “Auto-enrolment has transformed pension saving across Britain. But as this report shows, too many low and middle earners today still face the prospect of low incomes in retirement. “In fact, many lower income … Continued READ MORE
Real wages on the cusp of shrinking for fourth time since financial crisis 19 May 2026 The UK labour market entered the period of instability caused by the war in the Middle East in a weak place, with unemployment at 5 per cent, the volume of payrolled jobs falling and pay packets on the brink of shrinking in real terms again for the fourth time in less than two decades, the Resolution Foundation said today. The latest ONS data shows February’s fall in unemployment was a blip. A … Continued READ MORE
A Government reset focused on living standards should ruthlessly prioritise growth, work, and young people’s prospects 14 May 2026 The Government needs to reset its economic agenda against a bleak backdrop of weak growth, falling living standards, and high borrowing costs. This will require honesty about the scale of Britain’s problems, but a better outlook for living standards can be achieved with a ruthless prioritisation of growth, work and young people’s prospects, according to … Continued READ MORE
Poor health, weak vocational education and a hands-off benefit system have all left the UK with the third highest NEET rate in Europe 28 April 2026 Britain’s NEET crisis is being driven by a quartet of causes – rising ill-health, weak vocational education, a hands-off benefits system, and a weak labour market, and action on all four fronts is needed to get young people’s futures back on track, according to the Resolution Foundation today (Tuesday). Lost in transition notes that the … Continued READ MORE
Government can take credit for reducing borrowing last year but impacts of Middle East conflict present a further risk to public finances 23 April 2026 The UK borrowed £132 billion in the past financial year (2025-26), £20 billion below the £152 billion in borrowed in 2024-25, and £0.7 billion below the OBR’s March forecast. But conflict in the Middle East risks putting the brakes on the slow consolidation in the public finances apparent in today’s figures, the Resolution Foundation said … Continued READ MORE
Britain in the foothills of a fresh inflation shock – with bigger rises in food and energy bills still to come 22 April 2026 CPI inflation jumped to 3.3 per cent in March, up from 3.0 per cent in February – in line with market expectations – in the first sign of war-driven price rises feeding through to British households, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). The rise in March was largely driven by petrol prices, which have increased … Continued READ MORE
Further deterioration in Middle East conflict could deal a £16 billion hit to the public finances 22 April 2026 A severe but plausible scenario, in which a deterioration in the Middle East conflict sustains some of the worst hits to the UK economy so far, could result in a £16 billion borrowing hit – massively reducing the Chancellor’s headroom against her fiscal rules, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Wednesday). With the … Continued READ MORE
Loose labour market should limit inflationary impact of latest energy-price shock and the need to raise interest rates 21 April 2026 The pace of deterioration in the labour market has eased but it is still in far weaker shape than it was on the eve of the last energy price shock in 2022. This could offer a silver lining by limiting the risk of high inflation and need for interest rate rises, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics. The … Continued READ MORE
8.4 million people now claim Universal Credit as its 13-year roll-out nears completion 14 April 2026 Responding to the latest Universal Credit data for March, Louise Murphy, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The 13-year roll-out of Universal Credit is nearly complete, with over eight million now claiming the benefit, and around 15 million people living in families that receive it. “With the final phase of the roll-out focused on … Continued READ MORE
UK households forecast to experience the highest inflation of any G7 economy over the next two years 14 April 2026 Responding to the IMF World Economic Outlook today, Simon Pittaway, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The IMF’s World Economic Outlook shows why British households are more vulnerable than their peers to the economic fallout from war in the Middle East. “In the run up to the conflict, the UK already had the highest level … Continued READ MORE
Higher energy prices could leave typical British households £480 worse off this year 13 April 2026 Higher energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East are set to deal a blow to British living standards, with market pricing suggesting that the median working-age household will be £480 worse off this year than they would have been if the conflict had not taken place, the Resolution Foundation said today (Monday). … Continued READ MORE
Higher energy prices could leave typical British households £480 worse off this year 13 April 2026 Higher energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East are set to deal a blow to British living standards, with market pricing suggesting that the median working-age household will be £480 worse off this year than they would have been if the conflict had not taken place, the Resolution Foundation said today (Monday). … Continued READ MORE
Labour market enforcement· Labour market New enforcement body marks welcome milestone for employment rights but Government must give it more powers to protect all workers 7 April 2026 New enforcement body marks welcome milestone for employment rights but Government must give it more powers to protect all workers The establishment of the Fair Work Agency is an important step towards better enforcement of employment rights, but to be a success it needs adequate powers and funding, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday). The … Continued READ MORE
New enforcement body marks welcome milestone for employment rights but Government must give it more powers to protect all workers 7 April 2026 The establishment of the Fair Work Agency is an important step towards better enforcement of employment rights, but to be a success it needs adequate powers and funding, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday). The Fair Work Agency (FWA) comes into existence today (7 April), the day after new provisions in the Employment Rights Act … Continued READ MORE
Poorest households are set to see inflation nearly a third higher than the richest 2 April 2026 Families in the bottom decile of the income distribution will be at the sharp end of the latest development in the cost of living crisis, and changes to energy and fuel prices alone could mean they experience a rate of inflation almost a percentage point higher than households in the top income decile by the … Continued READ MORE
High housing costs and financial uncertainty are holding millennials back from having children 1 April 2026 The latest twist in Britain’s declining birth rate has been the sharp rise in the number of non-graduate women in their mid-to-late-20s who do not yet have children, which has increased from a third (33 percent) in 2011 to over half (54 percent) by 2023, according to new Resolution Foundation analysis published today (Wednesday). With … Continued READ MORE
New Starter Deposit scheme could deliver a double win by helping up to a million priority first-time buyers onto the housing ladder 26 March 2026 A new targeted equity loan scheme could help up to a million priority first-time buyers – for whom getting on the property ladder would reduce their housing costs and raise their living standards in one fell swoop – according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Thursday). Credit where credit’s due? examines who has lost … Continued READ MORE
Calm before the storm as inflation holds steady ahead of an imminent oil shock 25 March 2026 CPI inflation held steady at 3.0 per cent in February, but with soaring oil prices prompting the Bank of England to revise up its inflation forecast, this may be the last bit of good news on the cost of living for some time, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). Beneath the headline figure for last … Continued READ MORE