Poor health, weak vocational education and a hands-off benefit system have all left the UK with the third highest NEET rate in Europe 28 April 2026 Britain’s NEET crisis is being driven by a quartet of causes – rising ill-health, weak vocational education, a hands-off benefits system, and a weak labour market, and action on all four fronts is needed to get young people’s futures back on track, according to the Resolution Foundation today (Tuesday). Lost in transition notes that the … Continued READ MORE
Government can take credit for reducing borrowing last year but impacts of Middle East conflict present a further risk to public finances 23 April 2026 The UK borrowed £132 billion in the past financial year (2025-26), £20 billion below the £152 billion in borrowed in 2024-25, and £0.7 billion below the OBR’s March forecast. But conflict in the Middle East risks putting the brakes on the slow consolidation in the public finances apparent in today’s figures, the Resolution Foundation said … Continued READ MORE
Britain in the foothills of a fresh inflation shock – with bigger rises in food and energy bills still to come 22 April 2026 CPI inflation jumped to 3.3 per cent in March, up from 3.0 per cent in February – in line with market expectations – in the first sign of war-driven price rises feeding through to British households, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). The rise in March was largely driven by petrol prices, which have increased … Continued READ MORE
Further deterioration in Middle East conflict could deal a £16 billion hit to the public finances 22 April 2026 A severe but plausible scenario, in which a deterioration in the Middle East conflict sustains some of the worst hits to the UK economy so far, could result in a £16 billion borrowing hit – massively reducing the Chancellor’s headroom against her fiscal rules, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Wednesday). With the … Continued READ MORE
Loose labour market should limit inflationary impact of latest energy-price shock and the need to raise interest rates 21 April 2026 The pace of deterioration in the labour market has eased but it is still in far weaker shape than it was on the eve of the last energy price shock in 2022. This could offer a silver lining by limiting the risk of high inflation and need for interest rate rises, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics. The … Continued READ MORE
8.4 million people now claim Universal Credit as its 13-year roll-out nears completion 14 April 2026 Responding to the latest Universal Credit data for March, Louise Murphy, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The 13-year roll-out of Universal Credit is nearly complete, with over eight million now claiming the benefit, and around 15 million people living in families that receive it. “With the final phase of the roll-out focused on … Continued READ MORE
UK households forecast to experience the highest inflation of any G7 economy over the next two years 14 April 2026 Responding to the IMF World Economic Outlook today, Simon Pittaway, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The IMF’s World Economic Outlook shows why British households are more vulnerable than their peers to the economic fallout from war in the Middle East. “In the run up to the conflict, the UK already had the highest level … Continued READ MORE
Higher energy prices could leave typical British households £480 worse off this year 13 April 2026 Higher energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East are set to deal a blow to British living standards, with market pricing suggesting that the median working-age household will be £480 worse off this year than they would have been if the conflict had not taken place, the Resolution Foundation said today (Monday). … Continued READ MORE
Higher energy prices could leave typical British households £480 worse off this year 13 April 2026 Higher energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East are set to deal a blow to British living standards, with market pricing suggesting that the median working-age household will be £480 worse off this year than they would have been if the conflict had not taken place, the Resolution Foundation said today (Monday). … Continued READ MORE
Labour market enforcement· Labour market New enforcement body marks welcome milestone for employment rights but Government must give it more powers to protect all workers 7 April 2026 New enforcement body marks welcome milestone for employment rights but Government must give it more powers to protect all workers The establishment of the Fair Work Agency is an important step towards better enforcement of employment rights, but to be a success it needs adequate powers and funding, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday). The … Continued READ MORE
New enforcement body marks welcome milestone for employment rights but Government must give it more powers to protect all workers 7 April 2026 The establishment of the Fair Work Agency is an important step towards better enforcement of employment rights, but to be a success it needs adequate powers and funding, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday). The Fair Work Agency (FWA) comes into existence today (7 April), the day after new provisions in the Employment Rights Act … Continued READ MORE
Poorest households are set to see inflation nearly a third higher than the richest 2 April 2026 Families in the bottom decile of the income distribution will be at the sharp end of the latest development in the cost of living crisis, and changes to energy and fuel prices alone could mean they experience a rate of inflation almost a percentage point higher than households in the top income decile by the … Continued READ MORE
High housing costs and financial uncertainty are holding millennials back from having children 1 April 2026 The latest twist in Britain’s declining birth rate has been the sharp rise in the number of non-graduate women in their mid-to-late-20s who do not yet have children, which has increased from a third (33 percent) in 2011 to over half (54 percent) by 2023, according to new Resolution Foundation analysis published today (Wednesday). With … Continued READ MORE
New Starter Deposit scheme could deliver a double win by helping up to a million priority first-time buyers onto the housing ladder 26 March 2026 A new targeted equity loan scheme could help up to a million priority first-time buyers – for whom getting on the property ladder would reduce their housing costs and raise their living standards in one fell swoop – according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Thursday). Credit where credit’s due? examines who has lost … Continued READ MORE
Calm before the storm as inflation holds steady ahead of an imminent oil shock 25 March 2026 CPI inflation held steady at 3.0 per cent in February, but with soaring oil prices prompting the Bank of England to revise up its inflation forecast, this may be the last bit of good news on the cost of living for some time, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). Beneath the headline figure for last … Continued READ MORE
Chancellor right to target energy bill support at vulnerable customers rather than repeat than blank cheque mistake of the last energy crisis 24 March 2026 The Chancellor is right to say that support for families struggling with high energy bills will be targeted at ‘those who need it the most’, rather than repeat the universal blank cheque approach of the past, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the Chancellor’s statement on energy bills. Recent Resolution Foundation research … Continued READ MORE
Graduates who grew up in deep poverty still earn £2,800 less than their peers 10 years on 24 March 2026 A graduate who grew up in deep poverty will earn 5 per cent less – over £2,800 a year – than a more privileged peer working at the same firm with an equivalent degree a decade after graduation, highlighting the scarring effect of childhood poverty, according to new research published today (Tuesday) by the Resolution … Continued READ MORE
Labour market had surprisingly sprightly start to the year, but outlook clouded by war in Middle East 19 March 2026 A surprise fall in the single-month unemployment rate in January – down to 4.9 from 5.3 per cent in December – coupled with a third consecutive monthly rise in the number of payrolled jobs in February – offers a more positive view of the labour market ahead of the outbreak of the conflict in the Middle East, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday). The unemployment fall … Continued READ MORE
Efforts to deliver a new social tariff for energy bills should start now to help vulnerable families this winter 18 March 2026 Smart thinking on a new social tariff, rather than rushing to repeat wasteful and costly universal support, is needed if the Government is to deliver targeted support for families struggling with high energy bills this winter, according to new research published today (Wednesday) by the Resolution Foundation. While recent political attention has focused on support … Continued READ MORE
Action on youth unemployment is welcome, but the government must continue monitoring the situation carefully 16 March 2026 Commenting on the newly announced package of support to tackle youth unemployment, Ruth Curtice, Chief Executive at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Rising youth unemployment is what’s driving up the number of young people not in employment, education or training (NEET) in the UK today, so the Government is right to act now to try to get … Continued READ MORE
£500 million expansion of Jobs Guarantee scheme needed now to tackle NEETs crisis 12 March 2026 The proportion of young people (16-24-year-olds) not in employment, education or training (NEET) in England was 13.3 per cent in 2025 according to new Department for Education data published today (Thursday). The latest figures are slightly lower than for 2024, when the NEET rate hit 13.6 per cent, but remain a wakeup call to the … Continued READ MORE
War in Middle East threatens bumper year of living standards growth for lower-income families 4 March 2026 The UK is set for a decent but one-off increase in living standards this year, and a bumper rise for lower-income families. But a fresh energy price shock risks ruining this good news, while the medium-term picture for living standards remains bleak, according to the Resolution Foundation’s overnight analysis of Spring Forecast 2026 published today … Continued READ MORE
Spring Forecast brings lower borrowing but higher unemployment, while war in the Middle East has scuppered the sunnier cost of living outlook 3 March 2026 The Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) latest economic outlook has delivered a mixed picture for the Chancellor and the country. The borrowing forecast has improved, but with unemployment higher and the brand new forecast for lower inflation and interest rates already out of date, bold policy action cannot wait until the Autumn Budget, the Resolution … Continued READ MORE
Chancellor should make a NEET exception to her ‘policy-free’ Spring Forecast and expand support to tackle youth unemployment 26 February 2026 The number of young people not in education, employment, or training (NEET) increased slightly at the end of last year to reach 957,000. With the UK perilously close to having over one million NEETs for the first time in 13 years, the Chancellor should use the Spring Forecast next Tuesday to take action and prevent … Continued READ MORE
Ofgem announces 7 per cent fall in energy price cap, boosting living standards for lower-income households 25 February 2026 The new Ofgem price cap of £1,641, effective from 1st April 2026, represents a 7 per cent (£117) fall on current (Q1 2026) levels, bringing a welcome boost to strained household budgets, according to the Resolution Foundation this morning (Wednesday). The main driver of lower prices is the Government’s £6.9 billion energy discount announced at … Continued READ MORE