Government spends big in the run-up to Christmas – but borrowing still in line with OBR forecasts

Higher than expected spending meant that public sector borrowing in December was £3.2 billion above the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast, but cash measures show government requirements remain on track in the run to recent new year market jitters, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). The latest ONS data shows that the Government borrowed … Continued

Right to Buy sales will slow to a crawl under the Government’s proposals – but Britain still has £50 billion shortfall in affordable housing to address

The Government’s proposed clampdown on the Right to Buy council homes will significantly blunt the impact of the policy. But it still faces a huge task in replenishing Britain’s affordable housing stock – with 400,000 more properties needed, at a cost of £50 billion, just to get back to 2010 levels of sub-market rent homes, … Continued

High housing costs outweigh cheap food to widen living standards gaps between poor families in Britain and their German, Dutch and French counterparts

The sky-high cost of housing outweighs the relatively low cost of food to make Britain a particularly pricey country for poorer families – and widens household income gaps between poor British households and their German, Dutch and French counterparts – according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Monday). The briefing note Whose price is … Continued

Reducing child poverty in Britain today will require greater support for working parents

Single-earner couples have seen their risk of falling into poverty rise by a third since 2000

Rising parental employment over the past two decades has switched the focus of Britain’s child poverty challenge from tackling workless households to supporting working families, with many kinds of working families now facing a greater risk of poverty than at the turn of the millennium, according to research published today (Monday) by the Resolution Foundation. … Continued

Petrol and rents drive disappointing inflation rise

CPI inflation increased to 2.6 per cent in November – higher than the Bank of England had expected – highlighting the challenge Britain faces in getting inflation back down to its target. The rise was driven by petrol prices, which fell by less over the past year in November than they did in October and … Continued

Government has tweaked its housing targets in a more growth-friendly direction – but major cities outside London still left behind

Tweaking the affordability criteria in the Government’s housing targets should help deliver more homes in areas with the most economic potential, as well as in areas with acute affordability challenges, since they are now more focused on the most productive travel to work areas, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday) of the Government’s response to … Continued

Government’s Industrial Strategy builds on Britain’s strengths, but risks ignoring what this must mean for left-behind places

The Government’s Industrial Strategy Green Paper has a welcome focus on leveraging Britain’s economic strengths – as an exporter of services, a European leader for defence, and a strong university-led research base – and identifies a sensible set of clusters and growth industries. But to focus on these, the strategy will need to pass over … Continued

Government right to put rising living standards at the heart of its agenda

The Government’s new targets of raising Real Household Disposable Income (RHDI) and GDP per person over the Parliament at both a national and regional level is a welcome move that should focus minds across Whitehall about the need to raise household living standards. However, with the national RHDI milestone having been hit in every parliament … Continued

Cost of Agricultural Relief in Inheritance Tax has doubled over the past five years to reach £700 million

Agricultural Relief for Inheritance Tax (IHT) is estimated to cost the Exchequer £700 million this year (2024-25), delivering savings of more than £300,000 each to the approximately 1,700 estates who claim it (based on the latest available data in 2021-22), and demonstrating why the Government is right to scale it back, the Resolution Foundation said … Continued

Get Britain Working White Paper full of good intentions – but ‘youth guarantee’ needs to be cast-iron

Today’s ‘Get Britain Working’ White Paper should nudge Britain closer to the Government’s stretching 80 per cent employment target. But to really make a difference, the Government will need to properly resource its ‘youth guarantee’ and get benefit reforms right – a challenge that has been left for another day. The Foundation says setting Britain … Continued

Family cash is helping more people onto the housing ladder and into early retirement, but vital family care still carries an economic penalty

Increasing transfers between generations – from housing young adults to financial gifts and inheritances, and caring for children, adults and elderly relatives – are having a profound, but unequally felt, impact on people’s economic prospects, according to new research from the Resolution Foundation and CPC-Connecting Generations published today (Thursday). The Intergenerational Audit 2024 – part … Continued

Inflation data delivers triple dose of bad news

CPI inflation increased by 2.3 per cent in October – a bigger increase than either the Bank of England or markets expected – with increases in core and services inflation completing a triple dose of bad news for families and policy makers, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). While a rise in inflation was always … Continued

Official labour market data has ‘lost’ almost a million workers, and is over-stating the scale of Britain’s economic inactivity challenge

ONS labour market statistics have misrepresented recent trends in the UK labour market – by under-estimating the growth in employment by 930,000 workers since 2019, and over-estimating the extent of economic inactivity, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Wednesday). As the new Government prepares to publish a White Paper that reaffirms its ambition … Continued

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