Publications Hitting the buffers Previewing the key decisions for Autumn Budget 2026 in the context of another rise in the cost of living 13 October 2026 by Hannah Aldridge and Matthew Cavanagh and Nye Cominetti and Ruth Curtice and Zachary Leather and Jonathan Marshall and Cillian Sheehan and James Smith Conflict in the Middle East has pushed up energy bills and borrowing costs, halving the Chancellor’s headroom. This briefing note sets out how Autumn Budget 2026 can target help at… Continue Reading
Publications Counting the cost The impact of five years of high inflation on living standards 8 October 2026 by Mike Brewer and Alex Clegg and Zachary Leather and Jonathan Marshall and James Smith This briefing note takes stock of five years of the cost of living crisis, examining how the surge in prices since 2021 has hit household incomes, finances and living standards… Continue Reading
Events Pleasing people and satisfying markets What has Budget 2026 revealed about the state of Britain and Burnham’s government? UpcomingThursday 29 October 2026 Budget 2026 need to deliver on three fronts – easing cost of living pressures, taking forward the Prime Minister’s economic agenda and reassuring the markets about the state of the… Continue Reading
Events Hitting the buffers What could a weaker economic outlook mean for the Budget? Tuesday 13 October 2026 For all the new Prime Minister’s positive vibes, conflict in the Middle East has driven up inflation and prompted a retreat from sovereign debt in financial markets that has increased… Continue Reading
Events The long crunch How can the Chancellor allay cost of living concerns in the Budget? Thursday 8 October 2026 Households across Britain have spent most of the 2020s stuck in a cost of living crunch. With inflation rising again, and the energy price cap forecast to rise to over… Continue Reading
Publications Understatement of the year Putting the 2026 Spring Forecast in context 4 March 2026 by Hannah Aldridge and Mike Brewer and Elliott Christensen and Tom Clark and Alex Clegg and Nye Cominetti and Ruth Curtice and Julia Diniz and Sophie Hale and Lindsay Judge and Zachary Leather and Jonathan Marshall and Charlie McCurdy and Louise Murphy and Simon Pittaway and Cillian Sheehan and Hannah Slaughter and James Smith and Imogen Stone and Jamie Titus-Glover and Lalitha Try The Spring Forecast was billed as a non‑event, but the underlying story is stark: weak growth, rising risks, and only a fleeting improvement in living standards. Our analysis shows why… Continue Reading
Events Taking the temperature Spring Forecast 2026 and the prospects for borrowing, growth and living standards Wednesday 4 March 2026 The Government came into office promising to tackle policy uncertainty by limiting major fiscal events to one a year. They failed to deliver this last year, but are determined to… Continue Reading
Publications Fiscal events and how to avoid them Spring Forecast 2026 preview 19 February 2026 by Elliott Christensen and Charlie McCurdy and James Smith In this slide pack we preview the upcoming Spring Forecast, assessing the economic and fiscal outlook based on news since the Autumn Budget. Continue Reading
