Publications See it. Say it. Sort it. How to reset Britain’s economic policy 14 May 2026 by Matthew Cavanagh and Alex Clegg and Ruth Curtice and James Smith This briefing note sets out how the Government should reset its economic strategy against a bleak backdrop of weak growth, falling living standards, and high borrowing costs. It provides clear… Continue Reading
Comment Three myths about UK borrowing and growth 13 May 2026 by Ruth Curtice Three myths shape debates about government borrowing and growth. First, that the cause of our growth woes is an overbearing, miserly finance ministry. Borrowing too little has just not ranked… Continue Reading
Events The economic fallout from war in the Middle East Part II The outlook for the economy and public finances Wednesday 22 April 2026 This second event will focus on the wider outlook for the economic and public finances. How much might the war reduce the UK’s growth prospects? What fresh policy support might… Continue Reading
Publications Understatement of the year Putting the 2026 Spring Forecast in context 4 March 2026 by Hannah Aldridge and Mike Brewer and Elliott Christensen and Tom Clark and Alex Clegg and Nye Cominetti and Ruth Curtice and Julia Diniz and Sophie Hale and Lindsay Judge and Zachary Leather and Jonathan Marshall and Charlie McCurdy and Louise Murphy and Simon Pittaway and Cillian Sheehan and Hannah Slaughter and James Smith and Imogen Stone and Jamie Titus-Glover and Lalitha Try The Spring Forecast was billed as a non‑event, but the underlying story is stark: weak growth, rising risks, and only a fleeting improvement in living standards. Our analysis shows why… Continue Reading
Events Taking the temperature Spring Forecast 2026 and the prospects for borrowing, growth and living standards Wednesday 4 March 2026 The Government came into office promising to tackle policy uncertainty by limiting major fiscal events to one a year. They failed to deliver this last year, but are determined to… Continue Reading
Publications Fiscal events and how to avoid them Spring Forecast 2026 preview 19 February 2026 by Elliott Christensen and Charlie McCurdy and James Smith In this slide pack we preview the upcoming Spring Forecast, assessing the economic and fiscal outlook based on news since the Autumn Budget. Continue Reading
Events Where is the UK economy heading? The outlook ahead of the Spring Forecast Thursday 19 February 2026 The Autumn Budget was barely three months ago, but the UK has experienced plenty of economic and political drama since then. In the short time between OBR forecasts, there have… Continue Reading
Publications New Year Outlook 2026 Early and encouraging signs of a mild zombie apocalypse 5 January 2026 by Ruth Curtice and Greg Thwaites What a difference a year doesn’t make. This time last year the Government had just announced huge tax rises, having previously said they weren’t coming; trade wonks were wondering what… Continue Reading
