Pages from A brave new world

A brave new world: how reduced migration could affect earnings, employment and the labour market

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Work & Security

In the wake of the vote to leave the European Union it seems likely that the UK will adopt a new immigration regime, moving away from the current free movement of people within the EU and possibly extending the current points-based-system that applies to those outside the European Union. Given the government’s promise to bring … Continued

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Pages from Earning outlook Q1 2016

The RF Earnings Outlook Q1 2016

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Wages & Income

Overshadowing the latest outturn data for the labour market, and our picture of the UK economy more widely, is the UK’s decision to leave the EU. It will take some time before the effects of this decision make themselves felt in the hard economic data, but a detailed look at the pre-referendum jobs market can … Continued

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Pages from Intergenerational Commission launch document

Stagnation Generation: the case for renewing the intergenerational contract

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Shared Growth

Just like families, states and societies are underpinned by a social contract between the generations – collectively supporting each of us through the stages of our lives, and crucially doing so fairly. But this contract looks at risk of fraying. Even before the EU referendum result highlighted big differences between the generations, with the under … Continued

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Pages from Brexit vote v3

The Importance of Place: explaining the characteristics underpinning the Brexit vote across different parts of the UK

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Shared Growth

Post-referendum analysis has highlighted the importance of demographic, economic and cultural factors on individuals’ vote. In this note, we consider the importance of place; highlighting the extent to which those same factors matter across 378 of Britain’s 380 local authorities. We test the strength of the relationship between these different factors and the vote while holding … Continued

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