Money for Mayors, rationing renters’ support and angry rich men Top of the Charts 20 January 2023 Afternoon all, Hope you’re all feeling suitably levelled-up after yesterday’s jamboree of “Westminster will decide how to transform the economic prospects of your area, via a small heritage/leisure scheme”. The Government’s provided a map so you can see whether you’re getting a token bung long term strategic investment. I’d encourage anyone hoping centralisation at least meant quality control to check … Continued READ MORE
Is the UK labour market at a crossroads? This latest ONS labour market statistics, covering November 2022, show a mixed picture 17 January 2023 by Hannah Slaughter This morning’s labour market statistics, covering November 2022, show a mixed picture. On the one hand, high levels of vacancies and low unemployment mean that the labour market remains tight. But there are early signs that this may not last much longer – vacancies have fallen markedly over the past few months, while redundancies are … Continued READ MORE
The need for growth, graduate jobs and vultures Top of the Charts 13 January 2023 Afternoon all, Ageing can be hard, so it’s important to celebrate the benefits – such as greater self-knowledge, the children leaving home and the Government/housing market giving you free stuff. For those of you over 50 the latest good news is the Government is considering considering “exempting over-50s returning to work from income tax entirely for six … Continued READ MORE
Tax Five bad ways to hand out £4 billion a year 12 January 2023 by Adam Corlett Taxes are going up, in large part due to big policy choices like the upcoming rise in the Corporation Tax rate and the prolonged freezing of various tax thresholds. Yet it’s always possible that further tax rises will be needed sooner or later, perhaps to support struggling public services, or to raise funds to allow … Continued READ MORE
Middle-Aged Marxists, Pelénomics, and Previewing Pre-Budget Rows Top of the Charts 6 January 2023 Afternoon all – and happy New Year. Now obviously we wish good luck to those of you vowing to diet/exercise or sort out your finances/personality in 2023. But not everyone has opted for the same old self-improvement vows. Let it all hang out seems to be the resolution of many in the first week of … Continued READ MORE
Why the distribution of income matters for growth Social mobility up the ladder of opportunity matters. But there is also an important link between income distribution and economic growth 3 January 2023 by David Willetts There is a Conservative argument that what matters is absolute levels of income and wealth. Worries about how it is distributed are for Socialists. Conservatives should just get on with growing the total size of the cake. This view is one strand of conservatism. But there are also good Conservative reasons why this won’t do … Continued READ MORE
Welfare System collision The interaction of Universal Credit and Child Benefit withdrawal is creating a mess 3 January 2023 by Gavin Kelly If there is anyone out there still harbouring the quaint idea that it’s the super-rich who face the highest marginal tax rates in the land, they should think again. There are various contenders for that dubious prize but we can now announce a clear winner: the small but fast-growing group of families receiving Universal Credit … Continued READ MORE
New Year’s Outlook 2023 Top of the Charts 30 December 2022 2022 was a truly horrendous year, dominated by the arrival of double-digit inflation that drove a 3.3 per cent (or £800 per household) hit to real disposable incomes, the biggest annual fall in a century. This has left three-quarters of lower-income working families cutting back this Christmas. Against that difficult backdrop, this note considers what … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: December 2022 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 21 December 2022 by Emma Selinger As we come to the end of the year we’ve been reflecting on our achievements in 2022, so in this edition you’ll find our top 10 WorkerTech highlights of the year. Do you have a WorkerTech idea that you’re developing for 2023? Book in a time to chat in January to see how we can … Continued READ MORE
Lengthening picket lines and the Great British Bin fire Top of the Charts 16 December 2022 Morning all, Now there are lots of reasons to love working at the Resolution Foundation. Its warmth has always been high on my list – that’s always meant great colleagues until this week, when the actual quality of our heating system has moved centre stage in my appreciation. Being in the office kept me alive … Continued READ MORE
Labour market Understanding the labour market context behind the current strikes 13 December 2022 by Louise Murphy The backdrop to this morning’s labour market statistics is recent strikes: around 40,000 rail workers are striking today and later in the week, and nurses and Royal Mail staff (among others) are set to strike later this month. Today’s data helps us understand the labour market context behind these strikes – workers are feeling the … Continued READ MORE
Charting the Atlantic divide, and taxing your way to an Oscar Top of the Charts 9 December 2022 Afternoon all, Anyone else secretly enjoying the cold snap? It’s partly the juxtaposition with the ludicrously warm autumn thus far – good to know the planet isn’t a perma-inferno just yet. Plus London looks great on a cold evening with clear skies (Waterloo Bridge looking east is the place to be). We’ve now entered the … Continued READ MORE
Neighbourly quizzes, hybrid hang-ups and the dangers of the fastweb Top of the Charts 2 December 2022 Afternoon all, Chester has chuntered, giving the government of the day a kicking. Maybe by-elections returning to their rightful role in British politics will reassure the traditionalists who’ve spent the week panicking about the decline in religiosity (it’s less likely to help the racists worrying about quite how white London is). Obviously Labour types should … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: November 2022 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 30 November 2022 by Emma Selinger It was great to see so many of you at our WorkerTech meetup last Monday. If you didn’t make it then don’t worry! This month I’m sharing what our WorkerTech community brought to the evening, and pointing you to some further organisations, projects and research. We’ll be hosting more WorkerTech meetups in the future, and … Continued READ MORE
Tackling tax dodgers and picking the perfect team Top of the Charts 25 November 2022 Afternoon all, Whether or not football’s your thing, the World Cup is a welcome relief from cost-of-living trauma. Unless you’re one of these fans actually in Qatar paying £12 a pint (or Welsh). The relief is of course fairly dependent on the winning bit, so we’d better see some of that tonight vs. the US. … Continued READ MORE
Autumn Statement Special Top of the Charts 18 November 2022 Afternoon all, Now this really does need to be the last one. We just can’t keep going at a rate of one a week. I’m so tired I can hardly see, which is why this week’s TOTCs isn’t exactly on time. The problem of course is the policy chaos/u-turn spiral driving fiscal event frequency inflation … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Pay growth gap adds to staffing crisis in the public sector 15 November 2022 by Greg Thwaites Today’s labour market data show real pay falling fast in the private sector, and even faster in the public sector. Public sector vacancies have hit a new record, while vacancies in the private sector continue to recede gently from recent record highs. As the Chancellor prepares to announce a new round of tight public spending … Continued READ MORE
Medieval mayors, price hikes for pensioners and fighting over fiscal holes Top of the Charts 11 November 2022 Afternoon all, You know who the best car passengers are? The ones that suggest you might be going a bit too fast, AFTER the mini-Budget you’ve gone straight over the roundabout, through the front window of the local Sainsburys and come to a rest having knocked all the mortgage food products off the shelves. Of course not everything is going … Continued READ MORE
Catching trains, planes and marriage material Top of the Charts 4 November 2022 Afternoon all, It wasn’t what you’d normally call good news from the Bank of England yesterday. Apparently, our incomes will fall by around £800 per household next year. Wonderful. The forecast that we’re a few months in to a two-year long recession is just what we all want to hear. We’re talking about the economy … Continued READ MORE
Britain’s boom in ungrateful retirees Top of the Charts 28 October 2022 Afternoon all, Sorry TOTCs is slightly later than normal, this morning was taken up with some painful editing of our preview for the Autumn Statement. Painful because of the substance rather than the editing challenge obviously. We may have got a new PM, but the extent to which we haven’t escaped our underlying low … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Five take-aways from the 2022 ASHE release: a bad year for pay growth, but good news on pay inequality 27 October 2022 by Nye Cominetti and Charlie McCurdy The ONS published their annual release from the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) on October 26th. It’s not the timeliest data – it was collected from a survey of employers all the way back in April, and we already know from other data sources how pay has evolved through to July and August. … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: October 2022 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 27 October 2022 by Emma Selinger This month we’re focusing on some great events open to our readers during the remainder of 2022. Register now for Impact investing in technology to address skills and employment challenges 💸 Tuesday 15th November, 10 – 11am: Impact investing in technology to address skills and employment challenges, in partnership with Ufi VocTech Trust. An opportunity to hear about … Continued READ MORE
Record resignations and the remnants of Trussonomics Top of the Charts 21 October 2022 Afternoon all, When I was a lad the fields were green, the maidens fair and when you bought a new toy Prime Minister they didn’t break the second you started playing with them they started playing with the country. I had to wait until I was eight to get my first new Prime Minister, but my kids (7 … Continued READ MORE
Curtains for the Chancellor? Top of the Charts 14 October 2022 Afternoon all, British economic policy making is in one of its chaos phases. I’d like these to come a bit less often. ‘I wouldn’t start from here’ isn’t generally the most helpful response to a request for advice. But don’t discount it in all circumstances. There are times when it’s more useful than others i.e. … Continued READ MORE
Pay Low unemployment belies a labour market in poor health 11 October 2022 by Greg Thwaites Today’s labour market data showed unemployment hitting its lowest rate since 1974. On the face of it, this is cause for celebration. But a shrinking labour force, not a rise in employment, drove the fall in unemployment, and this is a cause for concern. A record number of working-age people are now inactive due to … Continued READ MORE