Economy 2030· Net zero· Demographics· Living standards· Firms· Productivity & industrial strategy· Brexit & trade· Cities and regions· Economic growth· Tax· Macroeconomic policy Ending Stagnation A New Economic Strategy for Britain Monday 4 December 2023 The final report of The Economy 2030 Inquiry The UK has great strengths, but is a decade and a half into a period of stagnation. The combination of slow growth and high inequality is proving toxic for low- and middle-income Britain. The result is a country falling behind its peers, where taxes, rather than wages, … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Productivity & industrial strategy· Economic growth Inventing a better Britain How does R&D fit into a new UK economic strategy? Wednesday 15 November 2023 Low productivity is the foundational cause of Britain’s recent economic malaise, and raising it is a top priority for policy makers. Public and private investment in research and development is a key route to boosting productivity and future economic growth. But businesses often complain that policy makers are failing to create an environment that encourages … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Cities and regions In place of centralisation Devolution for London, Manchester and Birmingham Wednesday 8 November 2023 Devolution is essential to both tackle economic inequality across England and drive national economic growth. Significant change has already occurred, with metro mayors and combined authorities taking control over significant areas from transport to housing in areas covering large swathes of the country. But we have not seen fiscal devolution, as responsibility for how money is spent … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Productivity & industrial strategy· Public spending Creaking at the seams Can we bring Britain’s trains, drains and mains into the 21st Century? Wednesday 1 November 2023 Britain faces a simply huge infrastructure challenge. As well as decarbonising our homes, we need to modernise our water, energy and transport networks, replacing basic infrastructure that often dates back to the Victorian era. Achieving this is likely to require major investment, regulatory reform and new institutions to drive forward change, as well as a … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Skills People-powered growth Equipping young people with the skills Britain needs to prosper Tuesday 24 October 2023 Britain urgently needs to boost its economic growth. But while there are many routes to doing so, most ultimately come down to people boosting national prosperity – and to do this they need the right skills for the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. But Britain’s record on skills is chequered – its often world … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Monetary policy· Fiscal policy· Macroeconomic policy Riding the economic rollercoaster Is Britain’s macroeconomic policy framework fit for purpose? Thursday 19 October 2023 Britain’s macroeconomic policy that the Treasury and Bank of England have got used to is crisis management – from a financial crash to a global pandemic and a huge inflation spike. Both have adopted new approaches to supporting the economy, going far beyond textbook cuts to interest rates. Today the legacy is higher levels of … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Labour market Creating a Good Jobs economy Lecture by Professor Dani Rodrik Wednesday 27 September 2023 Advanced economies across the world have been buffeted by acute shocks crises like the Covid-19 pandemic and war in Ukraine, at the same time as they are grappling with longer-term challenges like deindustrialisation, the rise of AI and globalisation. Labour markets across a range of countries have experienced persistent wage stagnation, the rise of insecure … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Firms· Productivity & industrial strategy More change please Why Britain needs a more dynamic economy Monday 25 September 2023 Change is accelerating, or so we are told. But while the world is changing, it’s far less clear that Britain’s economy is. In fact we’re seeing less industrial change, as some sectors grow and others shrink, than has been the case for decades. Fewer workers are moving jobs. This matters because, while many of us … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Incomes· Labour market· Productivity & industrial strategy Risk reduction Can earnings insurance underpin a more dynamic jobs market and a more productive economy? Thursday 21 September 2023 Losing your job in Britain can be a very expensive business. Low and flat rate benefits leave many workers facing huge income falls if they face a period out of work. This gives them a strong incentive to take a new job quickly – but not necessarily the best fit for their talents. And it … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Labour market· Cities and regions· Housing Making Greater Manchester great again What is GM’s plausible path to greater prosperity? Tuesday 19 September 2023 This event was held in Manchester. Greater Manchester has long been centre-stage in visions of a more geographically equal country – from the Northern Powerhouse to levelling up. But the rhetoric has outpaced the reality: productivity and wages across the city region remain 10 and 4 per cent below the national average. What it would … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Labour market· Cities and regions· Housing Building momentum in Birmingham and beyond What is Birmingham urban area’s plausible path to greater prosperity? Thursday 14 September 2023 This event was in Birmingham. The West Midlands has played a pivotal role in British history as a manufacturing hub, driving innovation and economic growth which led to dramatic improvements in people’s living standards. But its city region has struggled to maintain this role over recent decades, and productivity is now 11 per cent below … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Low pay The Innovation Job Can new labour market institutions drive good work? Monday 4 September 2023 Nationally set minimum standards – from the minimum wage to holiday pay – make a real difference to the quality of low-paid work. But these reforms can only go so far. Many problems in the world of work are concentrated in specific sectors, from social care to logistics. And even when problems are shared – … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Living standards· Labour market· Inequality & poverty· Housing Shared prosperity What would it take to see a return to rising living standards for all? Tuesday 4 July 2023 Britain is stagnating. Productivity growth is flatlining, workers today are earning the same wages as their predecessors in 2007, and living standards growth had slowed to a crawl even before today’s cost of living crisis. So we need a clear strategy for returning to rising, and widely shared, prosperity. Against that backdrop, it is important … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Tax From quantity to quality How to have better, not just higher, taxes Wednesday 28 June 2023 Britain’s tax take has risen to a 70 year high. And while the pre-election clamour for tax cuts is growing, higher debt payments, struggling public services and tight fiscal rules mean taxes are just as likely to go up as down. But this rising quantity of tax revenue has not been matched by a rising … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Firms· Productivity & industrial strategy· Economic growth An investment nation Can Britain shift from living off its past to investing in its future? Thursday 22 June 2023 Britain is in relative decline, as productivity and wages stagnate. This reflects a decade of shocks but also a longer lasting problem – Britain has spent recent decades living off its past rather than investing in its future. In both public and private investment the UK consistently lags behind its international peers, leaving British workers … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Net zero Living in a material world How resources shape our past, present and future Monday 19 June 2023 Materials matter. They have been critical in shaping the path of human history, from the innovations we create to the relationships between nations. This has always been true from iron in the 19th Century to lithium that powers our smartphones today. But changing international dynamics – driven by shifting geopolitics, the recent energy crisis and … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Brexit & trade The UK’s trade trajectory In search of a post-Brexit trade strategy Thursday 15 June 2023 Brexit was a seismic break for the UK, not least in bringing to a close a decades long trade strategy focused on integration with European markets. Since then the Government has successfully rushed to sign as many trade agreements as possible, but these largely roll over arrangements inherited from EU membership, with little prospect of … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Net zero Running out of road? How to avoid (net) zero car taxation Thursday 1 June 2023 The UK is decarbonising its stock of cars quicker than most people expected – last year there were over a million Electric Vehicles (EVs) on our roads. This is great news for both people and the planet, as EVs are cheaper and cleaner to drive. But this transition presents challenges too – not least to … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Productivity & industrial strategy· Economic growth Shaping the next revolution How can we ensure that technological change boosts our national prosperity? Wednesday 24 May 2023 Technological innovations – from new agricultural machinery to industrialisation and the invention of the computer – have powered economic progress over the past 1,000 years. But technological leaps do not automatically lead to living standards improvements, and can instead cause economic disruption and pose threats to workers. As we stand on the precipice of a … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Cities and regions Turnaround cities How post-industrial cities around the world have transformed their economies Monday 15 May 2023 In a services-based economy like Britain, its cities should be leading its economic growth. But in fact England’s major cities outside London are actually less productive than the national average, and many have struggled to adjust to our post-industrial landscape. This is a common challenge for many cities in western economies. But while some cities … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Labour market· Low pay Good work How to renew the UK’s economic strategy and put better jobs at its heart Wednesday 19 April 2023 The minimum wage has more than halved the share of low paid workers across Britain over the past two decades. This is a huge success – but it is far from job done. While low-paid workers today earn more, they are too often trapped on short-hours, facing poor working conditions or lacking the advantages higher … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Public spending Thinking about tomorrow Overcoming the UK’s low and volatile public investment problem Thursday 30 March 2023 The UK has been under-investing for decades. British business isn’t keen on investing, and the public sector if anything does even worse. Public investment is not only low by international standards, it’s very volatile. Politicians like to announce investment rises, but Chancellor’s also like to cut it when they need to make the fiscal arithmetic … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Cities and regions The future of the UK economy Navigating a route to a fairer and more prosperous South Yorkshire, and beyond Thursday 23 March 2023 The United Kingdom is facing a decisive decade of huge economic change, from restructuring after Brexit and the pandemic, to urgently transitioning towards a net zero future, and adapting to technological shifts amid an ageing population. But it is doing that against a backdrop of low growth and high inequality, a toxic combination that leaves … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Monetary policy· Macroeconomic policy A cost-of-living crisis Inflation during an unprecedented terms of trade shock Wednesday 8 March 2023 Speech by MPC member Swati Dhingra Britain has been buffeted by many different economic shocks in recent decades, but the most recent is a huge terms of trade deterioration following a spike in energy prices and disruption to global supply chains in the wake of the pandemic. This has given the UK the highest inflation … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Economic growth Saving capitalism, rescuing democracy Book launch for The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism by Martin Wolf Tuesday 7 February 2023 Recent decades have not been kind to liberal democracy. Growth has slowed, inequality risen. Powerful voices argue that capitalism is better without democracy, while others argue that democracy is better without capitalism. But despite the travails of democratic capitalism this system brings substantial benefits. Turning the tide on populism requires both reflecting on these advantages … Continued READ MORE
