Covid-19· Labour market· Low pay· Pay· Skills· Migration Crystal balls vs rear-view mirrors The UK labour market after coronavirus 7 April 2020 by Hannah Slaughter and Torsten Bell …crisis, Brexit, and now coronavirus. Some trends will go into reverse – like the growth in self-employment While the argument of this paper is that post-crisis trends may well… READ MORE
Productivity & industrial strategy· Pay· Economic growth Dead-end relationship? Exploring the link between productivity and workers’ living standards 16 January 2020 by Matthew Whittaker …and economic backdrop would certainly help (business investment has fallen in five of the last six quarters, with firms understandably delaying decisions until such time as the Brexit outlook clears),… READ MORE
Labour market· Pay What’s in store for jobs and pay in 2020 Top of the Charts 27 December 2019 …recessions since World War Two. Brexit and the lack of any growth in business investment over the past three years is a key factor, but crucially global growth has also… READ MORE
Incomes· Low pay· Labour market· Pay Feel poor, work more – the real reason behind Britain’s record employment 13 November 2019 by Torsten Bell …the crash – or because post-crisis and pre-Brexit uncertainty means they’d rather take on workers that can quickly be shed, than machines that they’d be stuck with. But an increase… READ MORE
Labour market· Pay The labour market is delivering on jobs and pay – it is vital for living standards that we keep it that way 10 September 2019 by Nye Cominetti …can turn sour quickly. Then it was the Brexit vote, with the ensuing fall in the value of the pound and the jump in inflation choking off real pay growth…. READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Real wage growth has finally returned to pre-referendum levels 16 April 2019 by Charlie McCurdy …little sign that any Brexit-related uncertainty has taken its toll on firms’ hiring. The employment rate (76.1 per cent) and unemployment rate (3.9 per cent) hold steady at record highs…. READ MORE
Low pay· Labour market· Pay Minimum Wage 20th anniversary special Top of the Charts 29 March 2019 by Torsten Bell and Charlie McCurdy …party started. The key is choosing something non-Brexit related to celebrate. So we’ve talked everyone around, got all the main political parties on board, and have some fun party games… READ MORE
Labour Market Outlook· Labour market· Pay Will 2019 see a ‘new dawn’ for pay? 3 February 2019 by Nye Cominetti …The second patch of darkness is Brexit. The OBR and Bank forecasts discussed here assume a smooth Brexit, and no changes in trading arrangements until 2021. With no withdrawal agreement… READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Tight labour market breaks new ground on jobs 22 January 2019 by Stephen Clarke …market continues to be relatively immune from the Brexit-related uncertainty that is affecting other parts of the economy. But that’s a big if – and one that we’ll be continuing… READ MORE
Labour market· Inequality & poverty· Pay The £3.2bn pay penalty facing black and ethnic minority workers 27 December 2018 by Kathleen Henehan It’s that time of the year when everyone does their reviews of 2018. The political review of the year will inevitably be dominated by the thrills and spills of Brexit…. READ MORE
Living standards· Productivity & industrial strategy· Pay· Economic growth Decoupling wages and recoupling living standards Top of the Charts 30 November 2018 Afternoon all, This week saw several major studies on the economic impacts of Brexit end games. Obviously you shouldn’t read them all, partly because you’ve got lives to lead,… READ MORE
Labour market· Low pay· Pay The national living wage has caused the biggest fall in low pay in 40 years – but how is this improving people’s living standards? 27 October 2017 by George Bangham …migration is likely to fall as the Brexit process goes on. Easy changes that could be made include widening the range of jobs offered to non-graduates. So, although the National… READ MORE
Low pay· Labour market· Pay The latest on low pay 26 October 2017 by Conor D’Arcy …end of the UK’s labour market is far from certain, especially with the question marks around Brexit and migration rules. Whatever happens next though, it’s clear that the NLW this… READ MORE
Low pay· Pay The Great Escape? Low pay and progression in the UK’s labour market 19 October 2017 by Conor D’Arcy and David Finch The coming years will be pivotal for the UK’s labour market. Along with new questions raised by Brexit, the responses to longstanding issues dogging firms and workers alike will be… READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Wrestling with our squeeze fatigue 4 July 2017 by Torsten Bell Public sector pay is back on the front pages. Increasing it is Boris Johnson’s new big thing. Michael Gove is with him 100 per cent. The Brexit Britain boy band… READ MORE
Labour market· Pay The gloomy outlook for pay will put austerity under further pressure 15 June 2017 by Matthew Whittaker …and more recently by the effects of sterling depreciation following the vote for Brexit – so the pay squeeze has returned. But it would be wrong to lay all the… READ MORE
Labour market· Pay· Political parties and elections A history lesson: from pay packets to election results 15 May 2017 by Torsten Bell …of a higher oil price and weaker post-Brexit pound. Other official data on Tuesday is also expected to show another rise in inflation meaning this new squeeze, just two years… READ MORE
Low pay· Labour market· Pay How did firms pay for the big pay rise in 2016? Through productivity and price rises, not job losses 20 December 2016 by Conor D’Arcy …take longer than six months. That’s especially true as a substantial increase in the wage floor, taking the UK into uncharted territory, comes at the same time as the Brexit… READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Prepare for a pay squeeze as big as in the 1810s 25 November 2016 by Conor D’Arcy …temperament). But Autumn Statement 2016 and the first official projections of the impact of Brexit on the UK’s economy added an unfortunate new connection. If the OBR is right, decade-on-decade… READ MORE
Labour market· Low pay· Pay No jobs-killer as employers take a ‘suck it and see’ approach to the National Living Wage 11 July 2016 by Conor D’Arcy …been three months since the government’s flagship labour market policy came into force. As with Brexit, we’ll need to wait before judging the full impact of the higher wage floor… READ MORE
Labour market· Low pay· Pay· Living Wage The first 100 days: early evidence on the impact of the National Living Wage 11 July 2016 by Conor D’Arcy and Matthew Whittaker …announcement and implementation of the National Living Wage and their plans for the future. We also consider the implications of the Brexit vote for the future trajectory of the NLW…. READ MORE
