Household debt
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Monetary policy
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Wealth & assets
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Housing

An unhealthy interest? Debt distress and the consequences of raising rates

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Consumer borrowing has been surging over recent months, raising fears that we are storing up more debt-fuelled problems for tomorrow. This note digs into the numbers and focuses on who is taking out all the credit. We consider also how the profile of the UK’s household debt will stand up to increasing interest rates in the coming years.

Household debt
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Wealth & assets
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Housing

Mortgaged Future: Modelling household debt affordability and access to re-financing as interest rates rise

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One in ten of today’s mortgagors risk being imprisoned by borrowing deals which are likely to make their repayments unaffordable as interest rates rise over the next four years. Around 770,000 households are both at risk of being ‘mortgage prisoners’ due to a limited ability to switch to better mortgage deals and therefore insulate themselves against future rate rises, and at risk of being ‘highly geared’ where monthly mortgage repayments are eating up at least one third of their disposable income by 2018.

Household debt
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Wealth & assets

Closer to the edge? Debt repayments in 2018 under different household income and borrowing cost scenarios

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Britain faces the mounting prospect of a household debt crisis as analysis from the Resolution Foundation suggests that a least a million British families, and possibly as many as 2 million, could be spending more than half their disposable income on repayments by 2018 The study uses the latest five-year growth projections from the Office … Continued

Household debt
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Wealth & assets
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Housing

Closer to the Edge? Prospects for household debt repayments as interest rates rise

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The number of families in Britain with perilous levels of debt repayments could more than double to 1.2 million if interest rates rise faster than expected in the next four years and household income growth is weak and uneven. The figures suggest that the ongoing squeeze on households could leave Britain seriously exposed if interest … Continued

Household debt
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Wealth & assets

On borrowed time? Dealing with household debt in an era of stagnant incomes

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On borrowed time? examines how and why household debt grew in the pre-crisis years, before turning to study the current scale and distribution of exposure to debt across households. Finally, the report looks at the link between household debt and prospects for economic growth, setting out a range of broad policy considerations that will frame our … Continued

Household debt
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Wealth & assets

Inequality, debt and growth

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Inequality, debt and growth shows that low to middle income households were reliant on borrowing to fund much of their spending for more than a decade before the financial crisis. This report reveals the full extent of the increase in borrowing and deterioration in household savings rates in the run up to the 2008/09 crisis, … Continued

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